Il Fondo monetario internazionale ha tagliato dello 0,2% le sue previsioni di crescita globale per quest’anno e il prossimo portandole rispettivamente al 3,1% (in calo dal 3,4% dello scorso anno) e al 3,6%, definendo l’espansione «modesta». Frena la Cina, che dal 7% veleggia verso il 6% e anche Russia e Brasile sono in recessione. Meglio invece per l’Eurozona. Nonostante la crisi greca, la ripresa è graduale. Crescerà ancora dell’1,6% nel 2016. Bene, anzi benissimo per l’Italia: +1,3% per il prossimo anno.
Global growth for 2015 is projected at 3.1 percent, 0.3 percentage point lower than in 2014, and 0.2 percentage point below the forecasts in the July 2015 World Economic Outlook (WEO) Update. Prospects across the main countries and regions remain uneven. Relative to last year, the recovery in advanced economies is expected to pick up slightly, while activity in emerging market and developing economies is projected to slow for the fifth year in a row, primarily reflecting weaker prospects for some large emerging market economies and oil-exporting countries. In an environment of declining commodity prices, reduced capital flows to emerging markets and pressure on their currencies, and increasing financial market volatility, downside risks to the outlook have risen, particularly for emerging market and developing economies.
